Hi DF: You are discussing one of my primary metal detecting interests here. Regarding the industry being in a state of transition, I sure hope so. I think that you can only come up with so many new bells and whistles before the detectorists say, "What's new?" I think it is very similar to the auto industry. As long as there are plenty of customers who crave these machines, there's no motivation for real technological advancement. "This years model comes in Pearl color and has a 55 speaker system, too." But the public, at least here in the U.S., are starting to get tired of the "New, but nothing really new" offerings. I think it is a generational thing. The baby boomers accepted a certain level of technology, and that was that. Now we have new generations who feel (quite rightly) that we could do much better in the designing of these things if we really wanted to. And they are starting to demand it. So yes, you will probably see some manufacturers disappear, as they were more focused on marketing than on real tech innovation. Other companies will arise, or transform, out of necessity. The new generation is basically saying, "We can put a man on the moon, but I have to buy this obsolete technology?" So yes, it is more hype than anything else right now driving the market. I find it interesting that many detectorists feel that it is impossible to design a metal detector that could do this or that. I guess they are content with the current technology. I never was. I always felt that most of these detector companies were having a hard time thinking outside the box. I know that designing and marketing a completely new type of detector is very risky, and "Let the competition introduce it first" is the current philosophy.
Overall, I would say you are right about the manufacturers that you cover in your post. I'm not an expert or even a dealer, but I have been involved in TH'ing for many years. One thing that I think I would have to disagree with you about is Tesoro. You are right in saying that most of these companies are about the same, just as a Ford or a Chevy is. But from what I gather, Tesoro makes detectors that are better than average. And you are right about MineLab being in sort of a class by themselves. But they are not THAT much better, and they are very pricey. More hype. I think things will start to develop soon, as detectorists becomes more discerning and demanding. How about a detector with a MP player in it? (Just kidding) I think that some GPS technology in a detector could be useful, though. Just as the American public is starting to become much more discerning and demanding about automotive technology. Just don't hold your breath.
Happy hunting, Kevin in Ipswich, Mass.